Thursday, March 21, 2013

LeBron or Messi..???

LeBron James has told us over and over, since that championship breakthrough last June, that he's not and never will be Michael Jordan and doesn't relish the comparison. At all.

OK, OK.
Let's try a new comparison, then. How 'bout, just for sport, LeBron James versus Lionel Messi?

Since King James is still facing a bit of a ring deficit when his achievements to date are set against Jordan, let's dig into something a little more current: Which of these two modern-day titans, LeBron or Lionel, is the reigning king of team sports? It's a question I've wanted to pose and explore for some time, purely for some harmless March fun. So with LeBron's Miami Heat in full flow, and Messi fresh off last Tuesday's two-goal shredding of Italian giants AC Milan, why not now?
At a time of the season, where you can get away with trying some things if the circumstances are right, i've drawn up a list of categories applicable to both sports, surveyed experts from both of those worlds and see if we can get anywhere near a consensus on a question that strikes me as plenty relevant, not simply because these are my two favorite sports but because LeBron and Lionel -- unlike LeBron and MJ -- are in active competition.

The question, incidentally, was just thrown at James by The Associated Press earlier this week after Messi's virtuoso destruction of AC Milan in a must-win match in the knockout round of the Champions League. Asked by The AP's Tim Reynolds if Messi, even after his record-breaking 91 goals in all competitions in 2012, is merely soccer's LeBron.. James replied: "Is he? I'll let you decide."

So Yes. Let's decide. Let's break these two down and give it a go. For sport.

Impact

LeBron has an inherent advantage here as an absurdly talented star of a five-on-five sport playing on a smaller playing surface, meaning his hands are on the Spalding even more than Messi's magical little feet are on the ball. As one of the most versatile players to ever grace his game, furthermore, James plays four positions comfortably in the NBA and all five with ease in international competition, giving him boundless influence on any given game's proceedings.

Yet it's a huge compliment to Messi, heartbeat of a Barca team that's won the Champions League three times and Spain's La Liga five times, that the basketball player isn't running away here. Maybe the biggest compliment in the view of a well-known soccer addict who also happens to have two Most Valuable Player trophies at home for his work in the land of giants: Lakers guard Steve Nash.
"I'm not going to choose between them, because it's silly in a lot of ways to even think you can even choose between two guys playing different sports, but the fact that Messi -- playing 11 v. 11 -- can put his stamp on the game they way Michael Jordan or LeBron can do it on a basketball court is mind-boggling," Nash said.

Legacy

LeBron and Little Leo actually have some good stories to swap here, since both are so frequently reminded of what their résumés lack.  James needed nine seasons to win his first NBA championship, which is only two seasons longer than Jordan needed but constantly thrown in his face. Messi, even after becoming world football's first-ever winner of four successive Ballon D'Or awards and all those team trophies at Barcelona, is routinely reminded that Argentina has won no major honors -- beyond gold at the 2008 Olympics in a sport which is merely an under-23 tournament at the Summer Games -- with Messi wearing his country's iconic blue and white stripes.
 
So ... The real argument here is who shoulders the greater legacy burden. Is it James, at 28, who still has time to stack rings up high but lives in a world where reputation is overwhelmingly determined by the number of NBA championships you deliver? Or is it Messi, at a mere 25, who presumably has a little longer than LeBron to chase a World Cup trophy with Argentina, but who lives in the shadow of another Argentine of similar build and genius who, according to soccer legend, single-handedly won the 1986 World Cup for his people with a supporting cast that can't compare to the team of Albicelestes sprinkled around Messi today.

So let's turn again to Nash, who I'm quite sure owns more Diego Maradona T-shirts than anyone associated with the NBA, for some perspective here, bearing in mind the leaguewide assumption on these shores that James, now that he has his first ring, is inevitably going to work his way into Kobe Bryant's (five rings) or even Michael's (six) zip code.

"I saw a tweet from (English legend) Gary Lineker the other day saying he played against and watched Maradona a lot," Nash said. "And he says Messi is now better than Maradona and much more consistent. I know (Messi's record with) Argentina puts that into question, but in the modern game I think it's become much harder to dominate because of professionalism and athleticism being at such a premium."

Style

Here's another area of unexpected area of commonality. Unexpected because we're talking about a 6-foot-8, 250-pound, one-of-a-kind monolith who has no match physically in basketball, and a 5-foot-nothing wizard who, much like Maradona before him, uses his low center of gravity, silky touch, unfair agility and underrated lower-body strength to routinely deceive and run away from defenders.
They're both freakishly durable, too, despite the stark difference in how they're assembled.

And more common ground surfaces when we start talking tactics. In Miami, as you surely know by now, position is a bad word, with James possessing the physical tools and basketball IQ to do just about any job on an NBA floor at the heart of Erik Spoelstra's so-called "positionless" system. Messi, meanwhile, doesn't have anywhere near the defensive ability or responsibilities that James shoulders, which would never even be possible on a mammoth soccer pitch, but he's also frequently given a free role to go wherever he sees fit in attack as a world-class finisher and playmaker as opposed to being shoved into a positional box. There are natural goal-scoring strikers and Stockton-esque midfield setup men all over the world soccer map, but no one has ever combined those two talents like Messi. Not even Maradona. Which is why a certain Mr. Bryant, self-avowed Barcelona fanatic, chimed in to say that Messi actually has more in common with The Great One than basketball's Chosen One.
"Messi," Kobe told the press this week, "is more (Wayne) Gretzky."

Streaks

Hilariously, even this might be a coinflip. Even with LeBron at the heart of a 20-game Miami winning streak entering Friday night's trip to Milwaukee, Messi continues to change the way people think in the historically stats-averse soccer universe by scoring so often that you're forced to track these things American-style nowadays.
And we do: Stats & Information aces Paul Carr, Albert Larcada and Alok Pattani send out frequent reminders that, just to share an example, Messi is up to a ridiculous 17 straight matches in La Liga with at least one goal.
Rest assured that is as hard (or maybe even harder) to do than shooting better than 64 percent from the floor for an entire month, as LeBron just did in February.

Responsibility

Lifelong football fan Dirk Nowitzki of the Dallas Mavericks issued a warning when he heard about this story: "Both of them have great teammates, so don't just totally take them out of it."
Warning heeded. But that also leads to an obvious question: Which of these two goliaths, bearing in mind their supporting casts as well as their respective sports, has the biggest set of responsibilities on a game-by-game basis? You could make the case that it's James, who indisputably ranks as one of the top two or three two-way players we've ever seen in high-tops. And you could likewise argue on behalf of Messi, given that goals in soccer are so much more precious and harder to come by, and with No. 10 at the heart of so many for Barca.

"Gotta say that I think LeBron's job is probably a little harder," Nowitzki said. "Messi can hide sometimes and only needs one genius touch to look good. LeBron can never hide. Eyes are always on him. But he's just such a better athlete than anyone we've ever seen. He just makes the game look easy."

Likability

LeBron hasn't been subjected to villain talk in ages. Or at least months. Joining His Airness in the exclusive club of players to win an NBA championship, both the regular-season and NBA Finals MVP trophies and an Olympic gold medal in the same calendar year took care of that, shifting the scarlet V onto the shoulders of Public Enemy No. 12: Dwight Howard.

However ... Dwight might have unwillingly supplanted No. 6 as basketball's most vilified superstar, but LeBron isn't quite beloved like Mike just yet. You suspect it'll take a few more championships before the fallout from The Decision is swept aside to the point that LeBron is universally and routinely embraced as opposed to merely admired for his uber-efficient dominance. (Outside of Cleveland, of course.)
Messi, by contrast, is rather Roger Federer-like when it comes to public acclaim. He emits the same sort of graceful statesman vibe as Fed. The next bad thing someone says about him, Real Madrid supporters exempted, will pretty much be the first.
It's Messi's more flamboyant foil, Real's Cristiano Ronaldo, who ranks as the far more polarizing figure.

Rivalry

Bringing Ronaldo into the discussion is what gives LeBron perhaps his biggest source of separation. Because the gap between Messi and Ronaldo, depending on whom you survey, would appear to be shrinking.
Or put another way: As the bigger and more superior athlete doing plenty of top-level winning himself, Ronaldo is a lot closer to Messi's stratosphere, even sneaking into that same stratosphere on occasion when Real Madrid beats Barcelona, say, twice in the span of five days as we recently witnessed -- than Kevin Durant or any of LeBron's other rivals are to James.

It's more than conceivable that Durant can assemble a season, if the backstory proves as good as his basketball, that will earn KD an MVP trophy over LeBron someday, depending on how their teams fare in the regular season on top of what they achieve as individuals. Yet the gulf between LeBron and Durant -- and anyone else you want to nominate -- is only widening in terms of Best Player in the Game status. It takes more than that to win the annual MVP race, but LeBron will start every season for the foreseeable future having sewn up Best in the World status in his sport before a ball is dribbled.
Messi can't exactly say the same. Not when it's clear that Ronaldo, not Messi, is more like LeBron in terms of having the sort of blueprint body and skill set for young footballers to dream of.

Conclusion

As I can scan through all the selected categories, I'm surprising myself somewhat but unavoidably giving the edge to LeBron. Hard as it is to believe, so soon after Messi just shattered his sport's record with 91 goals in the calendar year of 2012, LeBron's ability to lord over everyone else in the NBA sways it for me. As we speak. 

Yet as Nash suggested from the start, there aren't exactly clear-cut answers when the kings in question are playing two different games. That's what motivated me in first place to seek out active experts from both orbits, from Planet Roundball and Planet Footy, to try to help make the call.
For Luol Deng, All-Star swingman from the Chicago Bulls and a lifelong Arsenal supporter who knows precisely how it feels to chase James around a 94-by-50 hunk of wood, it's Messi. Deng introduces an interesting fresh variable by bringing up Messi's ceiling, which is indeed higher than LeBron's because his whole legacy changes in a dramatic way if Argentina wins just one World Cup in his time.
"As good as LeBron is," Deng says, "I have to go with Messi. Because what he's doing, he's about to, he's on pace to (become) the best ever." Whoever Barcelona's playing, you're just interested to watch because Messi's playing."

Can LeBron Raymone James go down as the greatest to ever play NBA basketball? Can we just assume he's going to wind up with a Jordan-esque fistful of championships?
See? Interesting variable.
Said Simone Sandri, NBA correspondent for Italy's famed La Gazzetta dello Sport and a former professional soccer player in his country's Serie B and Serie C divisions with, among others, his hometown club Novara: "If I have to cast my vote, I have to say LeBron. Leo is obviously having another fantastic season, but LeBron, in my opinion, is having a bigger impact. Barca is such a machine that I really believe, for the sake of argument, that they could afford a Messi injury and still reach some of their goals at the end of the season.
"It's hard to imagine the same thing for the LeBron-less Heat. I would have to say that, right now, LeBron is bigger threat to his opponents. Not to put Messi down, but shutting Messi down does not mean shutting Barca down. That's a team that can hurt you in many ways. Shutting down LeBron doesn't guarantee you a win over the Heat, either, but it's a bigger step in that direction."

We've given the final word, trying to stay focused on the now, to U.S. national team midfielder Sacha Kljestan, who went all the way (like Messi) to the Champions League this season with his Belgian club Anderlecht when Kljestan wasn't following his beloved Clippers by any means necessary as Europe's biggest fan of L.A.'s other team: "Right now, Messi is the king of team sports. For a few reasons. He's young and has won more. He's been the world player of the year for the last four years; LeBron only has three MVPs. Messi has won the Champions League three times; LeBron only has one NBA championship.
"Of course Messi has been playing for Barcelona the whole time, with 10 other world-class players, whereas LeBron has only recently joined his "Barcelona." But right now, Messi is king. You know how much I love basketball, but Messi is on another level."




Saturday, March 16, 2013

Some things never change...

It was billed as the latest episode in a wildly successful and long-running tennis show, driven by new twists in the plot and the full force of a hefty backstory. But the showdown between Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer on thursday night in an Indian Wells quarterfinal ended up looking more like a rerun.

From the moment the first ball was hit, you had this feeling that you'd been here before. Had seen this, or something very much like it, not all that long ago. That the ending was foretold early on, and all the rest of it was -- for you -- mostly about hanging in there idly enjoying the formidable skills on display until Rafa quietly closed the deal with a 6-4, 6-2 win.

This wasn't a rerun of Federer versus Nadal at the Wimbledon final of 2008. This was a reprisal of their 2011 semifinal match in Miami, in which a desultory and oddly distracted Federer radiated surrender as he sleepwalked through a 6-3, 6-2 loss to Nadal. Just like thursday's clash, that one was overhyped to the extent that it made an honest man cringe. Sure, some Federer partisans will put their disappointment down to the fact that he apparently has a sore back. But then Nadal backers can argue that Rafa has chronically bad knees and is just now beginning to round into form.

Who cares? What we had here was a tennis match -- and matchup -- that poses no more intriguing questions, that has no more surprises in store.What... did you think these two guys would go on playing 2008-level tennis forever? Among other things, thursda night's match was a demonstration of the inevitable toll taken by age. That five-year age difference -- Federer is 31, Nadal 26 -- didn't mean very much as little as two or three years ago. But it really hurts Federer now, just as it helped him in the early stages of their rivalry, which goes back to 2004.

The match also gave us some insight into the state of Nadal's mind and game. As much as he may obsess about the reliability of his knees, the very sight of Federer across the net appeared to have a magical healing effect on those Nadal joints. Mostly, though, the message sent by Nadal's 19th win over Federer (who's won 10 in the rivalry) was that despite those sore knees, those seven months off, that drop to No. 5 in the rankings (while Federer has gamely clung to No. 2), Rafa enjoys an enormous style-based
advantage in the matchup.

This is not rocket science, folks, which is why I don't really buy into the conventional wisdom that contrasting styles make for the best rivalries.
Whether Sampras' serve can prove superior to Agassi's return, McEnroe's volley can trump Borg's passing shot, or Nadal's topspin forehand can break down Federer's backhand are not complicated questions, and the answers to those questions are obvious when you watch the rivals clash. When you come right down to it, a Djokovic versus Murray or Lendl
versus Wilander pairing is a much more nuanced contrast cos of similarities in play, and it's outcome is determined by more subtle and changeable elements.

As has been true for some time now, Federer's backhand is no match for Nadal's forehand. That Rafa is a lefty only adds, perhaps immeasurably, to his edge. At the most basic level, this was another of those matches decided by Rafa's ability to punish and hurt Federer in that familiar way: With a cross-court killer forehand that goes directly to Federer's versatile but not terribly threatening one-handed backhand. And so does Nadal's most comfortable serve.

Bear in mind, though, that this wasn't always the case. Early in this rivalry Nadal wasn't nearly as confident about and reliant upon blasting apart Federer's backhand. Federer's all around skills, and the indisputable beauty and variety of that one-handed backhand, masked his vulnerability. Who imagined you could lay low perhaps the greatest player ever in this sport by following the first commandment of parks-and-rec tennis: Hit to the backhand! It took a few French Open meetings, where the fruits of serving the kicker and beaming the forehand at the backhand side were most obvious, for Nadal to develop his approach to Federer, and Rafa has
been fine-tuning it ever since. He's got it stone-cold figured out now.

Hate to see this happening to Federer. As a die-hard Rafan, will always prefer Federer to Djokovic. Somehow, I think Roger deserves better. But the scoreboard and stat sheet don't lie. Ultimately, this match was no new episode, and if it was a rerun, it served mostly to remind us of the good old days when the outcome was less predictable, and perhaps to confirm that the rivalry no longer has the ability to excite and surprise. Hold the hype and say a prayer for Federer...